Monday, January 21, 2019
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Wheat Rebounds From 3-Month Low as Slump May Spur Demand

Wheat rebounded from the lowest price in more than three months amid speculation the longest slump in 15 years may spur demand and as recent rainfall failed to improve the crop's condition in the U.S.

Wheat's relative strength index, a gauge of price momentum, fell to 22.1 yesterday, the lowest since Jan. 10. The index rose to 25.3 today, with values below 30 considered by some traders to indicate an oversold situation.

"There would be opportunistic buyers at this level," Vyanne Lai, an agribusiness economist at National Australia Bank Ltd., said by phone from Melbourne. "Planting progress and weather conditions in the U.S. are relatively positive. Planting is on track and so it assuages fears of tightness in supply."

Wheat for July delivery rose 0.7 percent to $6.17 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade by 7:28 a.m. local time after earlier slipping to $6.1075, the lowest level for a most active-contract since Feb. 28. Prices fell for a 10th session yesterday, the longest such slump since Sept. 1, 1998.

The price drop for wheat "has made the market look oversold based on RSI," Paris-based farm adviser Agritel wrote in a market comment. "In this context a technical rebound could happen at any moment."

Futures trading volume in Chicago was about 43 percent below the 100-day average for the time of day, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Milling wheat for November delivery traded on Euronext in Paris rose 0.8 percent to 191.25 euros ($260.31) a metric ton.
Winter Wheat

About 30 percent of U.S. winter wheat was in good or excellent condition as of June 1, unchanged from a week earlier, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said June 2. Parts of Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas received above-normal rain in the two weeks through June 3, data from World Ag Weather show.

Planting of U.S. spring wheat was 88 percent complete from 74 percent in the previous week, the USDA reported. Showers later this week in central and northern areas of the Plains wheat belt will replenish moisture, MDA Information Systems LLC wrote in a report yesterday.

Corn for July delivery added 0.3 percent to $4.595 a bushel after dropping to $4.56 yesterday, the lowest price for a most-active contract since Feb. 28. Soybeans increased 0.7 percent to $14.9125 a bushel.

To contact the reporters on this story: Phoebe Sedgman in Melbourne at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ; Rudy Ruitenberg in Paris at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

To contact the editors responsible for this story: James Poole at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ; Claudia Carpenter at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. John Deane, Claudia Carpenter

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